COAMPS-TC Deterministic, Ensemble, and Nowcast Model Support of the ONR NOPP Project: Predicting Hurricane Coastal Impacts

PI: Komaromi, William (Naval Research Laboratory)
Co-PI(s): Doyle, James (Naval Research Laboratory), Jih, Hao (Naval Research Laboratory)
Start Year: 2021 | Duration: 1 years
Partners: ONR NOPP Project: Predicting Hurricane Coastal Impacts

Project Abstract:

The goal of this project is to provide surface winds and other key variables using the Navy’s Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System for Tropical Cyclones (COAMPS-TC®) deterministic model and the COAMPS-TC ensemble system in support of the ONR NOPP Project: Predicting Hurricane Coastal Impacts. For this project, we will run COAMPS-TC and the 11-member ensemble at high horizontal resolution (4 km) in real time during the 2022-2024 Atlantic and East Pacific hurricane seasons in support of the NOPP team. We will provide a variety of real-time fields and forecast aids to the NOPP team. We will also produce 3 hindcasts per year, with accurate tropical cyclone track, size and intensity, over the course of 3 years (9 total) for retrospective analysis given highly accurate atmospheric reforecasts and reanalyses. We will coordinate closely with the other team members to make certain all scientists are able to ingest and analyze the COAMPS-TC fields in real time and utilize these data in their research.

BAA: ONR NOPP Predicting Hurricane Coastal Impacts